Dummytic
0x33c8d6fef41f3f573e7a0b1df663349c521830ac
- Realised P&L
- $-362.08
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $17.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.230 | $17.04 | +$7.04 |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.021 | $0.84 | −$9.16 |
| US civil war before 2027? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.74at 0.348Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$-3.99at 0.470Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
- +$-4.50at 0.187Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
- +$-8.00at 0.019Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
- +$-9.98at 0.430Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 16:00 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 05:27 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.0379332375 | $80.00 |
| 04-21 04:23 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 02:24 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 17:45 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.0734737582 | $100.00 |
| 04-17 18:04 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.0845560221 | $30.00 |
| 03-17 04:26 | Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | SELL | 0.0225167635 | $0.50 |
| 03-16 02:56 | Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-16 02:56 | Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 03-16 02:56 | Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 03-14 00:52 | Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.4699999542 | $4.00 |
| 03-14 00:44 | Will Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 23:52 | Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 23:51 | Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.1870078443 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 18:47 | Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | BUY | 0.1349657651 | $10.00 |