dzwigu
0x169a37e37fa451c1a8cd3ac0fbbb583bfafa9047
- Realised P&L
- $-199.77
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $79.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.021 | $55.88 | −$152.09 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.135 | $7.59 | −$3.03 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.033 | $4.88 | −$10.13 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.045 | $4.55 | −$2.55 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.028 | $3.02 | −$6.54 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.165 | $2.81 | −$6.38 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.025 | $1.08 | −$3.14 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.09at 0.116Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 09:52 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.22 |
| 05-20 10:11 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | BUY | 0.111 | $0.85 |
| 05-14 17:08 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | BUY | 0.072 | $1.45 |
| 05-12 19:47 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.087 | $9.57 |
| 05-03 11:58 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 04-30 13:47 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $79.67 |
| 04-28 17:58 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.071 | $7.10 |
| 04-27 18:07 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.12 |
| 04-27 18:05 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 04-27 18:02 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 04-07 20:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $9.18 |
| 04-07 19:56 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 04-04 13:32 | Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.221859168 | $19.09 |
| 03-29 15:56 | Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1161856165 | $10.00 |