TimeTraveler
0x51fd8f0358cc9e8a1ee5f87a0c7e3b07ed634272
- Realised P&L
- $157.6k
- Volume
- $132.54M
- Markets traded
- 6,628
- Open portfolio
- $112.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,628
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.3kat 0.042Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$9.1kat 0.525Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$6.3kat 0.314Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$5.9kat 0.261Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
- +$5.2kat 0.126Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:39 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.027 | $13.42 |
| 09-17 02:38 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.03 | $50.15 |
| 09-17 02:34 | Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 02:20 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | SELL | 0.21 | $11.76 |
| 09-16 19:20 | Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:20 | Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:20 | Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 09-16 17:17 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.0089384583 | $7.28 |
| 09-16 05:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 05:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |