0x117879e54632d2342d6F0F5f48789E064bE269bB-1769017710895
0x117879e54632d2342d6f0f5f48789e064be269bb
- Realised P&L
- $-89.75
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $56.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.85at 0.240Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.640US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.098Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
- +$0.02at 0.857Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
- +$-0.06at 0.630Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 05:35 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999687 | $1.99 |
| 05-18 05:32 | Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.15 |
| 05-18 05:21 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999817 | $3.58 |
| 05-18 05:20 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 05:20 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 05-18 05:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 05-18 05:08 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | SELL | 0.105 | $1.16 |
| 05-17 16:09 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.062 | $0.74 |
| 05-17 16:08 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.80 |
| 05-16 22:01 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:48 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.92 |
| 05-11 21:43 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.93 |
| 05-11 21:42 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.873 | $1.01 |
| 05-11 21:39 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 05-11 21:10 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.239999991 | $16.00 |