SamuelWatskins
0xf79bbb3ce1b21f86c3901f4d3e2f0b056acdc37c
- Realised P&L
- $271.12
- Volume
- $96.3k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $133.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$806.89at 0.903Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
- +$640.36at 0.164Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$278.63at 0.409South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$127.79at 0.590Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
- +$123.96at 0.310Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:57 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.0543463873 | $23.95 |
| 09-16 16:39 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1234294936 | $12.24 |
| 09-16 16:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.063 | $7.88 |
| 05-24 07:49 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | SELL | 0.017 | $4.46 |
| 02-18 09:36 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $32.77 |
| 02-18 09:36 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | SELL | 0.46 | $57.50 |
| 02-14 11:48 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999946 | $25.00 |
| 02-14 11:48 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.52 | $65.00 |
| 02-14 11:42 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 02-14 11:38 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1799999525 | $2.50 |
| 02-14 11:38 | Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1199999597 | $2.50 |
| 02-14 11:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3799999947 | $42.89 |
| 02-13 09:34 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 02-13 09:34 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 15:55 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999931 | $27.76 |