Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 100 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.028. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.028 to 0.046. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.031	10	10
0.034	125	135
0.035	10	145
0.040	100	245
0.044	100	345
0.062	200	545
0.064	300	845
0.100	5	850
0.260	48	898
0.360	64	962
0.499	50	1,012
0.628	5	1,017

Spread0.007Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	43	43
0.023	30	73
0.022	115	188
0.020	6	193
0.018	18	211
0.017	115	326
0.015	38	364
0.014	35	399
0.012	100	499
0.010	6	505
0.007	100	605
0.005	150	755

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	43	43
0.977	30	73
0.978	115	188
0.980	6	193
0.982	18	211
0.983	115	326
0.985	38	364
0.986	35	399
0.988	100	499
0.990	6	505
0.993	100	605
0.995	150	755

Spread0.007Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.969	10	10
0.966	125	135
0.965	10	145
0.960	100	245
0.956	100	345
0.938	200	545
0.936	300	845
0.900	5	850
0.740	48	898
0.640	64	962
0.501	50	1,012
0.372	5	1,017

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
thecaricature	Yes	299.98
FrankyFourFingers	Yes	201.36
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	125.26
4bukedang	Yes	114.29
9839	Yes	100
AeronShin	Yes	50
Gorea	Yes	28.57
AJSV	Yes	22.14
FrankSchaamvader	Yes	20
0x177FDAd7742Eb8Cd7C48E153e7D22702d3f816F9-1763333185905	Yes	14.74
perkele	Yes	14.29
suntori	Yes	11.52
jeli8	Yes	11
56sdfdsfs	Yes	6.5
atnkan	Yes	6.25
29Tesrsss	Yes	1.32
i400	No	381.27
0x8931…a90c	No	365.19
SteppeKasandra	No	106.32
GTOrski1	No	83.82

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:25:00	BUY	No	0.975	40	$39.00
16:24:51	BUY	No	0.974	6	$6.14
21:34:27	BUY	No	0.97	6	$5.59
21:34:04	BUY	No	0.956	22	$20.80
05:15:16	BUY	Yes	0.058999967	28	$1.66
09:51:55	SELL	No	0.973	0	$0.29
14:57:48	SELL	No	0.973	10	$9.73
11:04:54	SELL	No	0.9739166667	12	$11.69
08:22:48	BUY	No	0.9929999999	11	$10.92
08:03:46	BUY	No	0.9879999996	11	$10.86
03:33:42	BUY	No	0.985	1	$1.00
10:11:08	SELL	No	0.9720022015	409	$397.36
06:00:39	SELL	No	0.973	18	$17.51
05:58:41	BUY	No	0.9929999999	19	$18.86
19:38:45	BUY	No	0.982	6	$5.89
07:31:57	BUY	No	0.986	0	$0.30
08:43:32	BUY	Yes	0.0349999669	29	$1.00
09:05:02	SELL	Yes	0.024	9	$0.21
15:14:14	SELL	No	0.96	10	$10.02
15:13:13	BUY	No	0.9859999468	10	$10.30
15:11:14	SELL	Yes	0.0171138174	241	$4.12
15:10:52	BUY	Yes	0.04	241	$9.64
14:40:44	SELL	No	0.963	10	$9.87
14:40:22	BUY	No	0.9739999979	10	$9.99
14:29:20	SELL	No	0.96	11	$10.11