Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 100 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.015. Unchanged over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.015 to 0.018. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	100	100
0.018	50	150
0.020	100	250
0.023	300	550
0.036	125	676
0.037	500	1,176
0.040	1,000	2,176
0.100	5	2,181
0.260	48	2,229
0.360	64	2,293
0.589	121	2,414
0.590	1,233	3,647

Spread0.004Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.013	18	18
0.012	155	173
0.011	386	559
0.010	6	565
0.009	27	592
0.008	172	764
0.007	115	879
0.005	100	978
0.004	1,199	2,177
0.003	2,620	4,797
0.002	6,025	10,822
0.001	22,024	32,846

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.987	18	18
0.988	155	173
0.989	386	559
0.990	6	565
0.991	27	592
0.992	172	764
0.993	115	879
0.995	100	978
0.996	1,199	2,177
0.997	2,620	4,797
0.998	6,025	10,822
0.999	22,024	32,846

Spread0.004Mid0.985

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	100	100
0.982	50	150
0.980	100	250
0.977	300	550
0.964	125	676
0.963	500	1,176
0.960	1,000	2,176
0.900	5	2,181
0.740	48	2,229
0.640	64	2,293
0.411	121	2,414
0.410	1,233	3,647

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
thecaricature	Yes	599.98
FrankyFourFingers	Yes	201.36
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	125.26
4bukedang	Yes	114.29
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	110.01
9839	Yes	100
Lyka2.718281	Yes	55.91
AeronShin	Yes	50
PPMT	Yes	31.12
Gorea	Yes	28.57
FrankSchaamvader	Yes	20
suntori	Yes	17.28
0x177FDAd7742Eb8Cd7C48E153e7D22702d3f816F9-1763333185905	Yes	14.74
perkele	Yes	14.29
jeli8	Yes	11
atnkan	Yes	6.25
29Tesrsss	Yes	1.32
Alegrandebig	No	485.37
i400	No	381.27
0x8931…a90c	No	365.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:47:49	BUY	No	0.983	100	$98.30
21:34:48	BUY	Yes	0.0178873098	56	$1.00
20:32:29	BUY	No	0.983	100	$98.30
20:27:51	BUY	No	0.98	6	$5.64
16:51:52	BUY	No	0.978	100	$97.80
15:16:37	BUY	No	0.977	130	$127.01
11:30:23	SELL	No	0.968	12	$11.74
22:42:53	BUY	No	0.975	1	$1.00
16:25:00	BUY	No	0.975	40	$39.00
16:24:51	BUY	No	0.974	6	$6.14
21:34:27	BUY	No	0.97	6	$5.59
21:34:04	BUY	No	0.956	22	$20.80
05:15:16	BUY	Yes	0.058999967	28	$1.66
09:51:55	SELL	No	0.973	0	$0.29
14:57:48	SELL	No	0.973	10	$9.73
11:04:54	SELL	No	0.9739166667	12	$11.69
08:22:48	BUY	No	0.9929999999	11	$10.92
08:03:46	BUY	No	0.9879999996	11	$10.86
03:33:42	BUY	No	0.985	1	$1.00
10:11:08	SELL	No	0.9720022015	409	$397.36
06:00:39	SELL	No	0.973	18	$17.51
05:58:41	BUY	No	0.9929999999	19	$18.86
19:38:45	BUY	No	0.982	6	$5.89
07:31:57	BUY	No	0.986	0	$0.30
08:43:32	BUY	Yes	0.0349999669	29	$1.00