PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gmtrader

0xa18c5cf2bc6eec389d2d512582ae14654b99d792

Realised P&L
$258.7k
Volume
$4.02M
Markets traded
519
Open portfolio
$284.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded519
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.935$36.4k+$194.66
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9210.915$36.1k$226.61
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8990.915$28.1k+$491.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9931.000$21.5k+$139.90
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8580.865$17.0k+$136.57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7470.998$16.5k+$4.1k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9420.957$16.4k+$254.33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9650.965$15.5k$15.13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9590.960$15.2k+$0.92
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9510.955$14.0k+$52.81
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8430.875$13.1k+$475.02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9951.000$12.7k+$55.91
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9300.979$5.8k+$286.10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8900.935$4.7k+$225.00
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9710.979$2.4k+$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:25Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.44$4.19
08-02 11:24Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?BUY0.915$91.50
08-02 00:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.88$8.80
08-02 00:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9$999.90
08-02 00:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.89$215.86
08-02 00:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.87$184.61
08-01 23:56Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.91$2.3k
08-01 23:33Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.98$98.00
08-01 23:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.996$199.20
08-01 23:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.996$199.20
08-01 23:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.996$199.20
08-01 23:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.995$228.85
08-01 21:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.77$770.00
08-01 21:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.78$23.40
08-01 21:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7714492754$53.23