PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c

Realised P&L
$35.1k
Volume
$9.36M
Markets traded
748
Open portfolio
$1.19M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded748
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$592.2k+$212.4k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$167.5k$212.4k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9650.975$48.4k+$492.61
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9800.988$29.2k+$227.11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.982$28.1k+$45.70
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.8970.971$24.3k+$1.8k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9380.958$19.7k+$403.43
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No0.9700.977$19.2k+$128.64
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9570.970$16.5k+$212.86
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.982$15.3k+$307.68
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9760.980$13.7k+$53.63
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9420.948$13.6k+$76.68
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9830.988$12.6k+$55.79
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9650.975$8.6k+$86.86
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9810.986$7.9k+$36.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 06:42Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.998$39.3k
08-12 06:41Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.997$7.3k
08-05 14:02Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.999$20.5k
08-05 14:02Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.999$23.1k
08-05 06:26Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.998$2.3k
08-05 06:17Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.997$4.4k
08-05 06:13Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.997$385.53
08-05 06:13Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.997$14.2k
08-05 06:12Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.9962591365$35.9k
08-05 06:12Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.997$35.3k
08-05 01:16Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.993$99.30
08-05 01:16Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.9896$247.40
08-04 16:270 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.97$97.00
08-04 15:590 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.945$94.50
08-04 15:440 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.906$453.00