PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c

Realised P&L
$30.0k
Volume
$8.82M
Markets traded
722
Open portfolio
$669.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded722
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No0.9991.000$225.8k+$134.66
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.9981.000$49.8k+$55.64
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9800.991$29.3k+$315.86
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$27.6k+$1.4k
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.8970.966$24.2k+$1.7k
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.981$19.5k+$10.94
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9380.946$19.4k+$156.63
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No0.9700.971$19.1k+$10.82
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9670.965$19.0k$49.18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9570.960$16.3k+$42.64
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9420.951$13.6k+$126.80
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9830.987$12.6k+$42.98
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July? · Yes0.9991.000$10.9k+$6.99
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9780.979$8.6k+$0.85
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9650.975$8.6k+$86.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$611.90
08-02 12:20Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9989781677$29.2k
08-02 04:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.317638648$129.31
08-02 03:19Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.354$35.40
08-02 03:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.3319336196$35.55
08-02 02:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.65$1.7k
08-01 17:08U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.001$15.13
08-01 13:19Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?BUY0.999$79.77
08-01 11:46Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.227$68.10
08-01 04:42Critical Discord Incident by July 31?BUY0.9984444444$89.86
08-01 04:38Will STRC market cap hit $14B by July 31?BUY0.997$365.56
08-01 04:23Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?BUY0.999$2.0k
07-31 23:46Will Seattle have more than 3 inches of precipitation in July?BUY0.9986521952$306.40
07-31 23:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.999$20.37
07-31 23:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.999$45.2k