0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c
- Realised P&L
- $30.0k
- Volume
- $8.82M
- Markets traded
- 722
- Open portfolio
- $669.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded722
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.966Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
- +$3.1kat 0.962Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
- +$2.7kat 0.997Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$2.3kat 0.998Will England win on 2026-07-11?
- +$1.8kat 0.998Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $611.90 |
| 08-02 12:20 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989781677 | $29.2k |
| 08-02 04:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.317638648 | $129.31 |
| 08-02 03:19 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.354 | $35.40 |
| 08-02 03:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.3319336196 | $35.55 |
| 08-02 02:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.7k |
| 08-01 17:08 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.13 |
| 08-01 13:19 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.77 |
| 08-01 11:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.227 | $68.10 |
| 08-01 04:42 | Critical Discord Incident by July 31? | BUY | 0.9984444444 | $89.86 |
| 08-01 04:38 | Will STRC market cap hit $14B by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $365.56 |
| 08-01 04:23 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 07-31 23:46 | Will Seattle have more than 3 inches of precipitation in July? | BUY | 0.9986521952 | $306.40 |
| 07-31 23:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.37 |
| 07-31 23:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.2k |