Alegrandebig
0x377326c9360302d15d5ce7f7ad5718e27837f0dd
- Realised P&L
- $-10.9k
- Volume
- $4.39M
- Markets traded
- 7,165
- Open portfolio
- $135.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,165
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$442.02at 0.859Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
- +$278.59at 0.237Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15?
- +$261.47at 0.894Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
- +$242.30at 0.982Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 8?
- +$192.29at 0.725Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:03 | Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.88 | $61.60 |
| 11-01 22:58 | Obama federally charged before 2027? | BUY | 0.974 | $38.96 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.973 | $17.85 |
| 11-01 22:42 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $792.95 |
| 11-01 22:42 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $98.10 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $115.90 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $37.03 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $66.70 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Obama arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.969568434 | $62.91 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 11-01 22:35 | Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.972 | $1.04 |