Alegrandebig
0x377326c9360302d15d5ce7f7ad5718e27837f0dd
- Realised P&L
- $-11.4k
- Volume
- $3.89M
- Markets traded
- 6,902
- Open portfolio
- $71.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,902
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$442.02at 0.859Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
- +$278.59at 0.237Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15?
- +$261.47at 0.894Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
- +$242.30at 0.982Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 8?
- +$192.29at 0.725Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September? | SELL | 0.92 | $12.68 |
| 09-17 20:27 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $70.33 |
| 09-17 20:27 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 09-17 20:26 | Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 09-17 20:20 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 09-17 20:19 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 09-17 17:25 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 17:23 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $60.20 |
| 09-17 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $137.19 |
| 09-17 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.991 | $49.63 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.969 | $8.21 |
| 09-16 12:51 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.1229534686 | $10.12 |
| 09-15 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.35 |