PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

29Tesrsss

0x10168282ebf0cae1caf2f5b62c7d42fcc3c5c866

Realised P&L
$355.99
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
2,986
Open portfolio
$141.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,986
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Maxx Crosby play for New England Patriots next? · No0.8051.000$5.01+$0.98
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next? · No0.8061.000$5.00+$0.97
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · No0.9101.000$5.00+$0.45
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? · No0.8311.000$5.00+$0.84
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · No0.9601.000$5.00+$0.20
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.9621.000$5.00+$0.19
Will Maxx Crosby play for Buffalo Bills next? · No0.8311.000$5.00+$0.84
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%? · No0.8500.996$4.98+$0.73
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · No0.9610.979$4.89+$0.09
Will Maxx Crosby play for Baltimore Ravens next? · No0.7501.000$4.87+$1.22
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.8800.968$4.82+$0.44
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · No0.9610.955$4.78−$0.03
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9211.000$4.58+$0.36
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · No0.6940.893$4.47+$0.99
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.7901.000$3.95+$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 13:19Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?SELL0.996$4.98
06-24 13:34Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?SELL0.001$0.01
05-27 17:53Will Dricus Du Plessis be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.09
05-27 17:53Will Alexandre Pantoja be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.05
05-27 17:53Will Tom Aspinall be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.07
05-24 19:11Will Joshua Van be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.07
05-24 19:01Will Petr Yan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.06
05-22 19:15Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
05-22 18:26Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.05
05-22 18:08Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
05-19 13:54Will Magomed Ankalaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.011$0.05
05-19 13:47Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
05-19 13:47Will Leon Edwards be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.00
05-18 00:31Will Sean Brady be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
05-16 07:26Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01