PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x177FDAd7742Eb8Cd7C48E153e7D22702d3f816F9-1763333185905

0x177fdad7742eb8cd7c48e153e7d22702d3f816f9

Realised P&L
$2.80
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$8.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · Yes0.2601.000$3.85+$2.85
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.0700.071$2.04+$0.04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3700.162$0.87$1.13
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0530.021$0.41$0.59
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? · Yes0.0680.028$0.41$0.59
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0800.031$0.39$0.61
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0900.029$0.32$0.68
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Bikinis back on X by January 16? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$3.00
Will no CEO be announced in 2025? · No0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-14 16:13Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
01-14 16:12Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?BUY0.0678622745$1.00
01-14 16:12 Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?BUY0.0568292648$1.00
01-14 16:12Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
01-14 16:11Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.0529999513$1.00
01-14 16:069.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.089999919$1.00
01-14 16:05Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0779999331$1.00
01-14 16:05SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
01-14 16:05AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
01-14 16:03Sam Altman in jail by June 30?BUY0.0679999383$1.00
01-14 16:03Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? BUY0.1399998824$1.00
01-14 16:03Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
01-14 16:02Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.08$1.00
01-14 16:02Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?BUY0.001$1.00
01-14 16:01Bikinis back on X by January 16?BUY0.0192921703$2.00