PolyBot

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Traders

AeronShin

0x7cf69140ea876de1d95fbd18f5a2f48ecf8e5685

Realised P&L
$-22.81
Volume
$218.66
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$0.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? · Yes0.0600.015$0.75−$2.25
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$4.07
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.36
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
US forces enter Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
X banned in U.K. by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-15 12:40Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.6199999543$4.07
01-15 12:40Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?BUY0.269999937$3.00
01-15 12:38Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?SELL0.36$7.07
01-13 14:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY0.4299999883$8.45
01-13 14:14Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?BUY0.06$3.00
01-12 11:20X banned in U.K. by March 31?BUY0.1$3.00
01-12 11:18US forces enter Iran by January 31?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
01-12 11:17Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
01-12 11:14Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?BUY0.08$1.36