AeronShin
0x7cf69140ea876de1d95fbd18f5a2f48ecf8e5685
- Realised P&L
- $-22.81
- Volume
- $218.66
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.015 | $0.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| X banned in U.K. by March 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.38at 0.430Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-15 12:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.6199999543 | $4.07 |
| 01-15 12:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 01-15 12:38 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.07 |
| 01-13 14:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BUY | 0.4299999883 | $8.45 |
| 01-13 14:14 | Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 01-12 11:20 | X banned in U.K. by March 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 01-12 11:18 | US forces enter Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 11:17 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.36 |