PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

9839

0xc244591be5d3fc7189f92852732a4bd767a1c06f

Realised P&L
$-129.98
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$44.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8700.570$32.76−$17.24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.122$6.45−$3.55
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.055$2.55−$10.45
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? · Yes0.0300.015$1.50−$1.50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.032$1.05−$3.95
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2800.001$0.04−$19.96
Will the US strike Colombia next? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) · Magic0.5400.000$0.00−$50.00
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$7.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Celtics (-13.5) · Bucks0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00−$40.00
Will the US strike Cuba next? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Lakers (-9.5) · Wizards0.5200.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 08:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.429999991$12.00
09-01 08:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
09-01 08:15Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.0729999946$12.00
06-23 05:53Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999993$25.00
06-23 05:52Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.003$3.64
06-23 05:52Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.014$4.12
05-20 23:28Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8699999988$50.00
05-20 23:26Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.0139999992$17.00
04-29 06:46Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?BUY0.2967505767$40.00
04-29 06:44Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.32$32.00
04-13 10:47Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?SELL0.05$10.00
04-13 08:45Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.3079470154$30.00
04-13 08:45Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.4299999971$30.00
04-13 08:44Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.89$24.39
04-13 08:41Ethereum flipped in 2026?SELL0.443566$44.36