9839
0xc244591be5d3fc7189f92852732a4bd767a1c06f
- Realised P&L
- $-129.98
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $44.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.42at 0.308Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
- +$65.52at 0.348Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$49.00at 0.020U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
- +$46.15at 0.520Spread: Heat (-5.5)
- +$42.86at 0.412S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 08:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.429999991 | $12.00 |
| 09-01 08:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 08:15 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0729999946 | $12.00 |
| 06-23 05:53 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999993 | $25.00 |
| 06-23 05:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.64 |
| 06-23 05:52 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.014 | $4.12 |
| 05-20 23:28 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 23:26 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.0139999992 | $17.00 |
| 04-29 06:46 | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | BUY | 0.2967505767 | $40.00 |
| 04-29 06:44 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 04-13 10:47 | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 08:45 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | BUY | 0.3079470154 | $30.00 |
| 04-13 08:45 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 04-13 08:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $24.39 |
| 04-13 08:41 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | SELL | 0.443566 | $44.36 |