perkele
0xcec653eeb6f808e283724ad072337d2f28bda1a6
- Realised P&L
- $-64.47
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $0.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.11at 0.090Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?
- +$1.56at 0.390Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$1.38at 0.420US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.440Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 11:06 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.12 |
| 07-13 20:31 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 10:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 09:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $0.77 |
| 07-13 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 09:13 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.283 | $1.35 |
| 03-26 22:51 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 03-26 22:51 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 03-17 13:28 | Negative GDP growth in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $2.40 |
| 03-16 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.97 |
| 03-14 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $0.98 |