4bukedang
0x05465d1efcff303e67876675e9a31f3f9ee6c0ce
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.33at 0.150Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 09:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0710000019 | $3.00 |
| 05-12 09:51 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.002 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 03:13 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.003 | $11.65 |
| 05-10 03:13 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 05-10 03:11 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 03:06 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.003 | $50.00 |
| 05-03 05:04 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.0051573468 | $9.00 |
| 04-09 00:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.006 | $30.00 |
| 04-09 00:02 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.00 |
| 04-08 23:55 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.96 |
| 04-02 07:43 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.0379999997 | $105.00 |
| 03-30 16:13 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.0488999551 | $100.00 |
| 02-19 17:14 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 02-19 17:08 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.00 |
| 02-19 17:06 | Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |