Lyka2.718281
0xd6832c7a72f20788e9d3bd6bfead5022280c6fd3
- Realised P&L
- $-47.61
- Volume
- $31.9k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $67.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.22at 0.090Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will MrBeast's next video get between 170 and 180 million views on week 1?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $4M and $5M?
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:23 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.013 | $6.00 |
| 10-27 00:23 | Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043560042 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 17:59 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 04:40 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.0379999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 02:08 | Netanyahu drops out before election? | BUY | 0.0106654153 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 03:24 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 02:31 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 02:26 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 01:54 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 01:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 01:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.0053389808 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 01:52 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.78 |
| 10-23 22:43 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 22:41 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0029927127 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 22:41 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |