PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lyka2.718281

0xd6832c7a72f20788e9d3bd6bfead5022280c6fd3

Realised P&L
$-47.61
Volume
$31.9k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$67.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.503$17.82+$16.82
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0140.011$16.01−$2.99
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0140.012$1.71−$0.29
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.006$1.63+$0.63
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$1.50+$0.50
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0670.087$1.31+$0.31
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · Yes0.0390.048$1.23+$0.23
US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes0.0130.015$1.13+$0.13
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.0370.040$1.07+$0.07
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · No0.0190.019$1.01+$0.01
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0400.019$0.97−$1.03
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.0430.040$0.93−$0.07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0050.005$0.91−$0.09
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$0.86−$0.14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0070.006$0.86−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 18:23Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.013$6.00
10-27 00:23Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.043560042$1.00
10-25 17:59UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.0569999989$1.00
10-25 04:40Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.0379999992$1.00
10-25 02:08Netanyahu drops out before election?BUY0.0106654153$1.00
10-24 03:24Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
10-24 02:31Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.006$1.00
10-24 02:26Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?BUY0.008$1.00
10-24 01:54Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.006$1.00
10-24 01:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.005$1.00
10-24 01:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.0053389808$1.00
10-24 01:52Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.07$0.78
10-23 22:43Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$1.00
10-23 22:41Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.0029927127$1.00
10-23 22:41Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$1.00