PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on November 1?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KAUS&format=raw&date=2026-11-02T09:00:00Z&hours=30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.015 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.001 to 0.015. 56 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0011,1171,117
0.00351,122
0.0054151,537
0.0066102,147
0.009702,217
0.0101712,388
0.012102,398
0.020182,416
0.029602,476
0.030712,547
0.040372,584
0.049602,644

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9991,1171,117
0.99751,122
0.9954151,537
0.9946102,147
0.991702,217
0.9901712,388
0.988102,398
0.980182,416
0.971602,476
0.970712,547
0.960372,584
0.951602,644

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xeb1b…87c0Yes652.56
hfvYes317.73
LornaPredictsYes161
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293Yes153.84
hello.67Yes144.92
TenakawaShizukaYes80
balthazarYes69.98
LucerysYes64.41
RiskyMoolahYes60
mustbethewaterYes59.57
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes58.69
fregdf12fYes58.62
.MentheYes50
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes40
newbie147Yes40
rubby-always-winsYes27.65
kaswarYes25
a5533Yes22.2
crypt941Yes21.99
Alcaraz2026Yes15.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:47:24BUYNo0.999109$108.63
15:50:55BUYNo0.9995$5.00
15:50:34BUYNo0.99910$10.10
15:50:33BUYNo0.9994$4.29
15:36:58BUYNo0.99910$10.00
15:21:45BUYNo0.99930$29.97
15:01:03BUYYes0.0043$0.01
15:00:43BUYYes0.00248$0.10
15:00:43BUYYes0.00220$0.04
06:45:03BUYNo0.9995$5.03
06:45:03BUYNo0.9995$5.06
02:58:58BUYNo0.99950$49.95
01:41:58BUYNo0.99940$39.96
16:12:04BUYNo0.9977580645186$185.58