PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fregdf12f

0x971199f0a99275218454d86377ff1044cdf38ee7

Realised P&L
$1.23
Volume
$822.66
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$467.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 4? · No0.7900.790$31.60+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 3? · No0.5400.455$27.30−$5.10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4? · No0.6250.635$25.40+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 3? · No0.9140.954$19.07+$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 3? · No0.8300.840$16.80+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 4? · No0.8300.835$16.70+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 4? · No0.8200.825$16.50+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 3? · Yes0.3800.395$15.80+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 3? · No0.7400.725$14.50−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3? · No0.6040.565$14.13−$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 4? · No0.7300.695$13.90−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3? · No0.5050.510$12.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3? · No0.5500.595$11.90+$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 4? · No0.5500.575$11.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 4? · No0.5400.545$10.90+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.