PolyBot

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Traders

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512

Realised P&L
$-76.2k
Volume
$2.44M
Markets traded
40,981
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded40,981
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration92.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.4610.615$2.0k+$501.51
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4840.923$317.16+$150.97
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0400.880$94.80+$90.49
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.525$34.65+$21.45
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5950.540$32.24$3.29
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.3330.390$26.04+$3.78
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1430.275$20.90+$10.04
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No0.8280.942$18.84+$2.28
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.9830.981$12.47$0.03
Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.0230.456$9.12+$8.67
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9810.974$7.92$0.06
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1430.177$7.43+$1.43
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.390$7.02+$3.42
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · No0.4200.285$6.56$3.11
Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes0.0590.220$6.16+$4.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:36Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.991$5.02
09-18 00:35Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?BUY0.58$1.31
09-18 00:35Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.98$14.83
09-18 00:35Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?BUY0.58$0.92
09-18 00:35Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.985$71.91
09-18 00:33Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18?BUY0.94$2.96
09-18 00:29Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.98$1.71
09-18 00:23Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 18?BUY0.96$9.81
09-18 00:20Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.988$19.92
09-18 00:20Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.95$19.18
09-18 00:18Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.8$8.00
09-18 00:18Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.999$6.99
09-18 00:18Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.83$6.31
09-18 00:17Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.92$4.08
09-18 00:17Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.81$1.96