0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293
0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512
- Realised P&L
- $52.2k
- Volume
- $3.36M
- Markets traded
- 57,205
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded57,205
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$19.0kat 0.942Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.7kat 0.789Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$13.5kat 0.010Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 11-02 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.37 |
| 11-02 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9792544031 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0336363636 | $0.92 |
| 11-02 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.80 |
| 11-02 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9948590899 | $45.26 |
| 11-02 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9961469113 | $63.53 |
| 11-02 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7704918033 | $9.40 |
| 11-02 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.21 |
| 11-02 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.97 |
| 11-02 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 11-02 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.11 |
| 11-02 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.28 |
| 11-02 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.09 |