crypt941
0x3f7007f15705b9c6e859989c508e9eedadfdd7d8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $169.8k
- Markets traded
- 6,277
- Open portfolio
- $63.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,277
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.83at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$76.97at 0.406Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$75.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$63.99at 0.408Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$62.73at 0.268Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 14:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-07 00:49 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias? | BUY | 0.938 | $4.69 |
| 10-07 00:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or higher on October 8? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-07 00:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C or higher on October 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-27 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-25 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-14 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-14 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-14 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-14 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-13 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |