PolyBot

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Traders

RiskyMoolah

0x8da391f364ba9e516cfed5e10f0e1c4d5698c418

Realised P&L
$245.86
Volume
$67.5k
Markets traded
3,403
Open portfolio
$339.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,403
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18? · Yes0.0501.000$39.98+$37.98
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.0501.000$39.98+$37.98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.0500.998$39.90+$37.90
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.890$35.60+$33.60
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.560$22.40+$20.40
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.550$22.00+$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.490$19.60+$17.60
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.480$19.20+$17.20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.0501.000$16.95+$16.10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.380$15.20+$13.20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.360$14.40+$12.40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.355$14.20+$12.20
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.295$11.80+$9.80
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.135$5.40+$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.120$4.80+$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 21:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 30?SELL0.999$39.96
08-26 07:58Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?SELL0.99$39.60
08-21 16:59Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21?SELL0.001$0.04
08-21 12:36Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 21?SELL0.82$6.56
08-21 12:07Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 21?BUY0.75$41.25
08-21 11:47Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 21?BUY0.66$3.30
08-12 04:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?SELL0.07$1.40
08-08 18:15Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?BUY0.75$3.75
08-08 18:14Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?BUY0.75$7.50
08-06 14:36Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on August 6?SELL0.001395$0.03
08-04 08:37Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.999$5.00
08-03 05:41Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.535$26.75
08-02 04:58Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 2?SELL0.001$0.01
08-02 02:33Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.08$4.00
07-27 00:20Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.004$0.20