RiskyMoolah
0x8da391f364ba9e516cfed5e10f0e1c4d5698c418
- Realised P&L
- $165.18
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,138
- Open portfolio
- $159.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,138
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.10at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 23?
- +$50.44at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?
- +$32.37at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 17?
- +$31.09at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 23?
- +$30.48at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 05:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.535 | $26.75 |
| 08-02 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 02:33 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 00:20 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 07-27 00:20 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.45 |
| 07-26 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-26 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-26 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-26 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-24 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-23 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-23 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.24 |
| 07-23 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 07-23 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |