RiskyMoolah
0x8da391f364ba9e516cfed5e10f0e1c4d5698c418
- Realised P&L
- $245.86
- Volume
- $67.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,403
- Open portfolio
- $339.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,403
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.10at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 23?
- +$50.33at 0.493Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?
- +$42.78at 0.496Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 21?
- +$38.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?
- +$38.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 08-26 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 08-21 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-21 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 08-21 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.75 | $41.25 |
| 08-21 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-12 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-08 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-08 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 08-06 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001395 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 05:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.535 | $26.75 |
| 08-02 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 02:33 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 00:20 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |