newbie147
0x73534402899084573c0f0ddc003674eba01cb6c5
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $1.92M
- Markets traded
- 11,088
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,088
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.4kat 0.001Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?
- +$3.6kat 0.003Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?
- +$1.3kat 0.218Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?
- +$1.0kat 0.034Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?
- +$644.24at 0.924LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $294.25 |
| 11-02 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.0368817044 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.30 |
| 11-02 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $38.09 |
| 11-01 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $293.95 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7106367323 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.951 | $16.98 |
| 11-01 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6167490247 | $9.49 |
| 11-01 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.88 |
| 11-01 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.61 |
| 11-01 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $144.85 |
| 11-01 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $191.46 |
| 11-01 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.58 |
| 10-31 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $149.56 |