0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927
0x496f76bd5cf4c2819c710ae90ed1c84b2dc6fa5d
- Realised P&L
- $34.9k
- Volume
- $4.63M
- Markets traded
- 35,452
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded35,452
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.52at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?
- +$294.75at 0.127Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6?
- +$287.71at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?
- +$270.46at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 2?
- +$268.04at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.32 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |
| 11-01 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.67 | $0.61 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $7.89 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $7.89 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.40 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.68 |
| 11-01 22:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.20 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9429999972 | $7.54 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9429999972 | $7.54 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9429999972 | $7.54 |