0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927
0x496f76bd5cf4c2819c710ae90ed1c84b2dc6fa5d
- Realised P&L
- $32.1k
- Volume
- $2.84M
- Markets traded
- 22,194
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded22,194
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.71at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?
- +$270.46at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 2?
- +$230.51at 0.365Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?
- +$221.51at 0.143Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 19?
- +$207.56at 0.268Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.63 |
| 09-17 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.52 | $4.16 |
| 09-17 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 09-17 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.27 |
| 09-17 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |
| 09-17 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 09-17 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.84 |
| 09-17 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 09-17 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 09-17 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 09-17 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 09-17 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 09-17 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |