PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927

0x496f76bd5cf4c2819c710ae90ed1c84b2dc6fa5d

Realised P&L
$32.1k
Volume
$2.84M
Markets traded
22,194
Open portfolio
$8.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded22,194
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 16? · Yes0.2421.000$318.24+$241.10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 17? · No0.9551.000$201.65+$9.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16? · No0.9271.000$171.57+$12.59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16? · No0.9501.000$152.68+$7.60
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 16? · No0.8851.000$147.25+$16.86
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 16? · Yes0.0881.000$144.09+$131.40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 16? · No0.9321.000$135.15+$9.14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 16? · Yes0.0791.000$133.10+$122.56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 17? · No0.9200.980$118.25+$7.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? · No0.8550.895$115.96+$5.22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 18? · No0.9600.960$115.20+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 17? · No0.9230.985$111.25+$7.04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 16? · No0.9481.000$110.86+$5.71
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 17? · No0.9451.000$107.77+$5.88
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.2331.000$96.99+$74.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:53Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.52$1.63
09-17 04:53Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.52$4.16
09-17 04:46Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.89$7.12
09-17 04:46Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.04$0.27
09-17 04:45Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.04$1.00
09-17 04:45Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.88$7.04
09-17 04:45Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.04$1.00
09-17 04:44Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.89$7.12
09-17 04:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.73$5.84
09-17 04:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.93$7.44
09-17 04:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.93$7.44
09-17 04:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.93$7.44
09-17 04:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.93$7.44
09-17 04:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.93$7.44
09-17 04:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.93$7.44