TenakawaShizuka
0xbfbea865479745d770702b787b574a2cc62dda52
- Realised P&L
- $15.62
- Volume
- $72.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,474
- Open portfolio
- $112.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,474
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.68at 0.603Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?
- +$4.76at 0.807Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?
- +$4.45at 0.817Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?
- +$3.30at 0.751Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?
- +$2.94at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.29 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.569999979 | $9.52 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.81 |
| 11-01 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.997 | $26.92 |
| 11-01 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $24.92 |
| 11-01 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.997 | $17.95 |
| 11-01 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1? | BUY | 0.6260830486 | $9.99 |
| 10-31 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $42.62 |
| 10-31 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $40.09 |
| 10-31 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.67 |
| 10-31 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31? | BUY | 0.9559999969 | $9.99 |
| 10-31 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.73 |
| 10-30 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31? | BUY | 0.6099999829 | $9.99 |