PolyBot

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Traders

TenakawaShizuka

0xbfbea865479745d770702b787b574a2cc62dda52

Realised P&L
$15.62
Volume
$72.7k
Markets traded
1,474
Open portfolio
$112.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,474
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on November 2? · No0.9680.969$40.03+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on November 2? · No0.9680.983$20.30+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 3? · No0.5490.350$18.19−$10.37
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on November 2? · No0.9700.976$10.05+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? · No0.8500.925$6.23+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on November 3? · No0.9300.945$1.08+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3? · Yes0.0010.003$0.20+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on November 3? · Yes0.0010.003$0.20+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 3? · Yes0.0010.007$0.14+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 3? · Yes0.0010.003$0.14+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 6°C or below on November 3? · Yes0.0010.002$0.12+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on November 3? · Yes0.0010.002$0.12+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 2? · Yes0.0010.002$0.12+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C or higher on November 3? · Yes0.0010.002$0.12+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on November 2? · Yes0.0010.002$0.12+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.999$10.29
11-01 21:18Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.569999979$9.52
11-01 21:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.999$15.81
11-01 20:21Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.001$0.03
11-01 19:30Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.997$26.92
11-01 17:07Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on November 3?SELL0.002$0.08
11-01 05:25Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.998$24.92
11-01 04:55Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.997$17.95
11-01 04:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?BUY0.6260830486$9.99
10-31 22:05Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 31?SELL0.998$42.62
10-31 18:55Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?SELL0.997$40.09
10-31 14:25Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?SELL0.999$49.67
10-31 13:35Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?BUY0.9559999969$9.99
10-31 05:56Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?SELL0.998$10.73
10-30 09:34Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?BUY0.6099999829$9.99