PolyBot

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-07-01
Rewards
60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.23 to 0.45. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3455
0.35510
0.36515
0.37121136
0.3836172
0.3960232
0.50200432
0.8020452
0.846251,077
0.852201,297
0.8715,38516,682
0.892,25018,932

Spread0.01Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.33169169
0.32372540
0.2880620
0.2760680
0.2540720
0.1980800
0.1810810
0.175001,310
0.155001,810
0.091051,916
0.084472,363
0.0731,07133,434

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.67169169
0.68372540
0.7280620
0.7360680
0.7540720
0.8180800
0.8210810
0.835001,310
0.855001,810
0.911051,916
0.924472,363
0.9331,07133,434

Spread0.01Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6655
0.65510
0.64515
0.63121136
0.6236172
0.6160232
0.50200432
0.2020452
0.166251,077
0.152201,297
0.1315,38516,682
0.112,25018,932

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
neutralwave23Yes1,007.54
burge146Yes228.19
FihdrzgddYes120
GuyFromTinderYes81.73
Sp0rtBabyYes60.6
planktonXDYes31
ghorrockYes21.54
frontiertradeYes20
SwamiRamaYes7.88
mombilNo756.61
AJSVNo205
youtube-traderNo104.73
dsds1No100
bigdihhh888No80
LaribobiboNo63
foxy4No60
POB-TNo60
MalganisNo50
ScGoldRatNo40
SaraDuterteNo29.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:29:39BUYNo0.6720$13.40
14:03:50BUYYes0.355$1.75
14:01:44BUYNo0.6720$13.40
07:24:01BUYNo0.66121$79.86
07:23:49BUYYes0.345$1.70
14:04:09SELLNo0.6652296697115$76.32
13:54:50BUYNo0.67104$69.68
10:19:14BUYNo0.5600741465757$423.76
20:12:18BUYNo0.5599999993115$64.25
16:29:28BUYNo0.55999994759$5.12
12:56:27SELLNo0.555100$55.50
12:38:21BUYNo0.57103$58.71
12:38:19SELLNo0.5645$25.21
12:38:15BUYYes0.27476721271,008$276.84
12:38:15BUYYes0.3100$30.00
12:38:15BUYYes0.2915$4.34
15:56:57BUYYes0.25742570184$1.00
15:47:26BUYYes0.254$1.00
05:17:36SELLYes0.15662520$3.13
15:07:01BUYYes0.2120$4.20
13:45:40BUYNo0.4620$9.20