PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ScGoldRat

0xd84182083ff03bf0c98e995ed906180647c57819

Realised P&L
$-7.9k
Volume
$1.60M
Markets traded
9,233
Open portfolio
$89.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,233
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? · No0.7950.795$31.80+$0.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? · No0.6700.640$25.60−$1.20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? · No0.5500.510$20.40−$1.60
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? · Yes0.3100.295$11.80−$0.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up0.9100.000$0.00−$5.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up0.8900.000$0.00−$3.00
Germany vs. Greece: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0630.000$0.00−$5.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00−$76.23
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5700.000$0.00−$63.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.9600.000$0.00−$14.40
Germany vs. Greece: Greece O/U 0.5 · Under0.7700.000$0.00−$3.85
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5 · Under0.5800.000$0.00−$2.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.9700.000$0.00−$7.76
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 6.5 · Under0.7410.000$0.00−$122.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.99$4.95
10-13 22:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ETBUY0.889999825$1.17
10-13 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.8599999514$1.77
10-13 22:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.98$268.52
10-13 22:54Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?BUY0.31$12.40
10-13 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-13 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.99$4.95
10-13 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.99$159.98
10-13 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.99$4.95
10-13 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.9675418033$118.04
10-13 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.99$54.45
10-13 22:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.99$54.45
10-13 22:30Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?BUY0.8$16.00
10-13 22:29Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?BUY0.67$13.40
10-13 21:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.999$5.00