dsds1
0xc85d1d1546d6bc6e107674c41e5f6ba1a3cb18b2
- Realised P&L
- $436.99
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.75at 0.655Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$40.66at 0.657US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$35.44at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.93at 0.839Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
- +$22.25at 0.656Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:26 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.82 | $53.30 |
| 10-11 18:20 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 10-11 18:19 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $600.21 |
| 10-11 18:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9711266667 | $145.67 |
| 10-11 18:17 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 10-08 23:12 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 23:12 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 23:10 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.49 | $46.55 |
| 10-07 22:12 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.61 | $14.03 |
| 10-02 23:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $267.00 |
| 10-02 23:01 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $194.50 |
| 10-02 22:59 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $13.38 |
| 10-02 22:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $258.10 |
| 10-02 22:55 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $156.00 |
| 10-02 22:51 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $194.50 |