PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dsds1

0xc85d1d1546d6bc6e107674c41e5f6ba1a3cb18b2

Realised P&L
$436.99
Volume
$59.6k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:26Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.82$53.30
10-11 18:20Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.82$82.00
10-11 18:19Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.972$600.21
10-11 18:18Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9711266667$145.67
10-11 18:17Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.82$82.00
10-08 23:12Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.5$50.00
10-08 23:12Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.5$50.00
10-08 23:10Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.49$46.55
10-07 22:12Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.61$14.03
10-02 23:08NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$267.00
10-02 23:01Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.991$194.50
10-02 22:59Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.87$13.38
10-02 22:56NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$258.10
10-02 22:55NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$156.00
10-02 22:51Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.991$194.50