PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SwamiRama

0xb187b8f32346acb39ea91a0467a51e3987a3615f

Realised P&L
$-192.04
Volume
$19.9k
Markets traded
463
Open portfolio
$44.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded463
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.964$16.24+$1.24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5000.945$5.67+$2.67
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2910.055$4.72−$20.28
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0960.040$4.55−$6.56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2540.335$2.64+$0.64
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3300.215$2.61−$1.39
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0140.022$1.57+$0.57
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1010.133$1.31+$0.31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1200.145$1.21+$0.21
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? · No0.3200.385$1.20+$0.20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4400.395$0.90−$0.10
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.4940.145$0.59−$1.41
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.2000.105$0.53−$0.47
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2400.075$0.31−$0.69
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.022$0.23−$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 11:30Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-08 15:56Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?BUY0.2574257018$1.00
10-08 15:55Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?BUY0.32$1.00
10-08 15:47Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?BUY0.25$1.00
09-24 11:35Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.025$1.00
09-20 16:19Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$5.61
09-20 16:19Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.1149732206$9.79
09-03 11:54Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0117443325$1.00
09-01 16:33Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.1904761905$1.00
08-31 16:25Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-31 11:27Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-31 11:20Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-24 15:36Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999246$1.78
08-22 11:05Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.32$1.00
08-18 15:21Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.3099998295$1.00