SwamiRama
0xb187b8f32346acb39ea91a0467a51e3987a3615f
- Realised P&L
- $-192.04
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 463
- Open portfolio
- $44.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded463
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.50at 0.317Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$88.41at 0.360Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?
- +$85.28at 0.291Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$36.32at 0.004Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$29.87at 0.770Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:56 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2574257018 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:55 | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:47 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:35 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:19 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.61 |
| 09-20 16:19 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.1149732206 | $9.79 |
| 09-03 11:54 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0117443325 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 16:33 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.1904761905 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 16:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:27 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:20 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 15:36 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999246 | $1.78 |
| 08-22 11:05 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 15:21 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |