Malganis
0x4bf459194025b2ca11a2db2deb9ef2a08c467021
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $2.51M
- Markets traded
- 2,798
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,798
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.961US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.668Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$966.41at 0.038Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$686.89at 0.947Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$674.80at 0.371Nothing Ever Happens: June
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 08-08 04:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $118.44 |
| 08-08 04:38 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.24 | $247.52 |
| 08-08 04:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0480626978 | $6.53 |
| 08-08 04:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $820.00 |
| 08-07 23:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0493651437 | $37.24 |
| 08-07 22:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $190.09 |
| 08-07 19:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599562 | $11.99 |
| 08-06 22:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $391.77 |
| 08-06 21:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $418.70 |
| 08-06 20:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $116.48 |
| 08-06 03:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $711.00 |
| 08-05 22:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $350.00 |
| 08-05 16:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 08-05 13:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6348290436 | $501.68 |