Malganis
0x4bf459194025b2ca11a2db2deb9ef2a08c467021
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $2.77M
- Markets traded
- 2,876
- Open portfolio
- $15.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,876
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.465Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.420Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.961US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$979.66at 0.669Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$966.21at 0.038Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.7694131356 | $363.16 |
| 09-25 02:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $479.82 |
| 09-25 01:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8095238095 | $510.00 |
| 09-25 01:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3878900757 | $87.16 |
| 09-25 01:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 09-25 01:09 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.87 | $435.00 |
| 09-25 01:06 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $75.60 |
| 09-24 21:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $499.33 |
| 09-24 15:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $153.75 |
| 09-24 12:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.31 | $42.79 |
| 09-24 12:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $269.84 |
| 09-24 02:05 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $18.15 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.3184322333 | $81.24 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.807 | $326.54 |