9182736455463728190
0x23cc4d606d11eefaccb6609195322e1885284f5a
- Realised P&L
- $326.52
- Volume
- $8.68M
- Markets traded
- 12,149
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,149
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.012Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$2.6kat 0.427Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?
- +$2.4kat 0.313Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
- +$2.1kat 0.733Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$1.6kat 0.271Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:51 | Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 09-16 00:48 | Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.969 | $97.87 |
| 09-16 00:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 00:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 09-15 23:45 | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 09-15 23:26 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-15 17:21 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 09-15 17:19 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $32.85 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.31 | $13.56 |
| 09-14 20:17 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.79 |
| 09-14 09:41 | Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0830519002 | $7.89 |
| 09-13 20:36 | Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.6 | $33.17 |
| 09-13 20:11 | Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.11 | $3.24 |
| 09-13 19:18 | Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.77 |