European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.11. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.12. 140 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	355	355
0.13	1,146	1,501
0.14	718	2,219
0.16	42	2,261
0.18	177	2,439
0.25	16	2,455
0.26	200	2,655
0.29	200	2,855
0.30	7	2,861
0.63	3,000	5,861
0.64	1,778	7,639
0.68	2,500	10,139

Spread0.02Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	330	330
0.09	1,206	1,536
0.08	805	2,340
0.07	121	2,461
0.06	62	2,523
0.05	2,075	4,597
0.04	2,719	7,316
0.03	3,212	10,528
0.02	6,166	16,694
0.01	12,300	28,994

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	330	330
0.91	1,206	1,536
0.92	805	2,340
0.93	121	2,461
0.94	62	2,523
0.95	2,075	4,597
0.96	2,719	7,316
0.97	3,212	10,528
0.98	6,166	16,694
0.99	12,300	28,994

Spread0.02Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	355	355
0.87	1,146	1,501
0.86	718	2,219
0.84	42	2,261
0.82	177	2,439
0.75	16	2,455
0.74	200	2,655
0.71	200	2,855
0.70	7	2,861
0.37	3,000	5,861
0.36	1,778	7,639
0.32	2,500	10,139

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Jasses	Yes	2,602
Jesnnifer	Yes	1,681
v1notlost	Yes	1,019.72
rocky42006	Yes	300
LornaPredicts	Yes	275.13
bnetopt	Yes	215.62
Numitus1994	Yes	101
Chrislitsch	Yes	65.19
Dingdongfishie	Yes	62.81
0xe3ae…217a	Yes	51
0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012	Yes	41.67
suntori	Yes	38.92
Nadmi	Yes	30.62
0x8E38316e397baC51BBE1db140884f7c93AE81A4A-1768929911886	Yes	29.94
V4grant	Yes	21.43
MerhabaKardesim	Yes	20
Iamos	Yes	17.13
yuri2026	Yes	13.92
drunkobunko	Yes	10
0x82311Db1134e2Ac2912fCA58c68800627Da7CBC0-1767862899753	Yes	7.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:17:14	SELL	No	0.89	5	$4.45
23:28:38	SELL	No	0.89	110	$97.45
23:07:18	SELL	Yes	0.0984010081	71	$7.03
16:11:22	BUY	Yes	0.1174997916	120	$14.10
17:12:28	BUY	Yes	0.12	100	$12.00
00:24:54	BUY	Yes	0.0812149533	107	$8.69
16:58:01	BUY	Yes	0.09	100	$9.00
08:46:03	SELL	Yes	0.08	455	$36.40
08:45:30	SELL	Yes	0.08	455	$36.40
08:45:15	SELL	Yes	0.08	465	$37.20
08:44:30	SELL	Yes	0.08	465	$37.20
08:24:55	SELL	Yes	0.08	13	$1.04
08:23:49	SELL	No	0.91	360	$327.60
08:23:48	SELL	No	0.91	365	$332.15
08:23:25	SELL	No	0.91	345	$313.95
08:23:13	SELL	No	0.91	380	$345.80
08:17:46	SELL	Yes	0.08	100	$8.00
08:17:33	BUY	Yes	0.09	100	$9.00
08:17:00	SELL	Yes	0.08	180	$14.40
08:15:58	SELL	Yes	0.08	540	$43.20
08:15:37	SELL	Yes	0.08	720	$57.60
08:15:34	SELL	No	0.92	200	$184.00
08:13:37	SELL	No	0.92	380	$349.60
08:13:37	SELL	No	0.92	376	$345.92
08:13:16	SELL	No	0.92	358	$329.36