v1notlost
0x48f97930ac76cf00a8cc95deea81704f7f08e61d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $715.7k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $968.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.216S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?
- +$1.8kat 0.049Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$370.39at 0.747US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$274.41at 0.259Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$204.83at 0.654Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 11-01 00:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $18.70 |
| 10-28 01:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $6.40 |
| 10-28 01:48 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 01:46 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0493269231 | $5.13 |
| 10-28 01:45 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $18.00 |
| 10-23 14:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 14:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 14:31 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.14 |
| 10-23 14:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.10 |
| 10-23 14:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |
| 10-23 14:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 14:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 10-23 14:25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0315987697 | $2.77 |
| 10-23 14:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.00 |