PolyBot

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Traders

v1notlost

0x48f97930ac76cf00a8cc95deea81704f7f08e61d

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$715.7k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$968.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.135$154.03−$14.41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.175$113.82+$16.14
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.080$89.58−$41.38
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1800.185$77.70+$2.10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0580.017$68.53−$166.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1040.095$66.50−$6.50
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2120.205$54.44−$1.82
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0800.162$48.47+$24.46
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0850.036$43.33−$58.14
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0900.035$41.73−$67.12
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.415$41.50+$21.50
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0360.011$36.98−$77.69
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0420.017$28.46−$44.76
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.0540.021$25.43−$38.45
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.041$14.74−$11.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$8.50
11-01 00:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$18.70
10-28 01:49Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.02$6.40
10-28 01:48Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
10-28 01:46Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0493269231$5.13
10-28 01:45Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.02$18.00
10-23 14:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$3.00
10-23 14:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$3.00
10-23 14:31Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$4.14
10-23 14:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$2.10
10-23 14:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.031$1.55
10-23 14:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$5.00
10-23 14:26Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$4.00
10-23 14:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0315987697$2.77
10-23 14:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$10.00