PolyBot

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Traders

v1notlost

0x48f97930ac76cf00a8cc95deea81704f7f08e61d

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$699.0k
Markets traded
266
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded266
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1410.165$132.23+$19.37
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? · Yes0.1170.075$83.98$46.98
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0580.018$83.83$180.29
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1630.105$79.04$43.34
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0190.015$78.87$19.52
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0850.056$65.89$35.58
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0400.024$62.69$41.33
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0940.055$60.80$42.92
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.055$55.53$42.11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0800.182$54.78+$30.77
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.0540.035$40.81$23.07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4030.125$37.50$83.50
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1130.034$31.98$75.86
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0650.038$29.47$20.66
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0710.055$27.80$7.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 04:24Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$7.07
09-05 19:09Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.029$24.56
09-05 19:09Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$18.17
09-05 19:08European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?BUY0.10642$10.64
09-05 19:06Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?BUY0.0714598131$7.65
09-05 19:04Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$30.33
09-04 23:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.266682$13.33
09-04 23:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$28.00
09-04 23:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.26$10.40
09-01 04:38Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0037019334$11.12
08-31 19:54Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.013$1.30
08-31 19:54Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.013$22.10
08-20 10:36Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.029$14.50
08-18 01:36Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$8.00
08-18 01:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$24.00