PolyBot

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Traders

MerhabaKardesim

0x3a237fba30a72dbb7722461d1b8a83ac64d70f72

Realised P&L
$32.0k
Volume
$10.34M
Markets traded
1,011
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,011
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2140.185$930.66$147.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.1420.065$694.87$825.15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2430.135$674.97$541.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.1330.125$375.00$24.15
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.0650.036$215.30$175.80
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1010.085$159.60$29.44
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · Yes0.2600.045$97.56$466.74
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0780.050$50.00$27.95
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0790.006$39.00$437.56
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? · Yes0.0870.003$30.03$839.35
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0760.041$15.64$13.80
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0150.014$7.39$0.78
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0170.013$7.19$1.99
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2900.115$5.75$8.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · Yes0.1220.001$5.21$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:08Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.02$2.95
09-17 00:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.14$59.50
09-17 00:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.139799996$69.90
09-17 00:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.13$269.75
09-17 00:04Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.96$240.00
09-16 23:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.171$51.30
09-16 23:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.181045877$36.82
09-16 23:54US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1805954$90.30
09-16 23:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.1133835108$287.43
09-16 23:40Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.6585339337$29.98
09-16 23:40Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.651$29.68
09-16 23:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.182211$182.21
09-16 20:36Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1$33.85
09-16 20:35Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.0972318$48.62
09-16 20:35Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.08$4.96