MerhabaKardesim
0x3a237fba30a72dbb7722461d1b8a83ac64d70f72
- Realised P&L
- $32.0k
- Volume
- $10.34M
- Markets traded
- 1,011
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,011
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.9kat 0.233Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.4kat 0.299Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.4kat 0.458Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.8kat 0.750US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.6kat 0.025US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:08 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.95 |
| 09-17 00:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $59.50 |
| 09-17 00:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.139799996 | $69.90 |
| 09-17 00:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $269.75 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.96 | $240.00 |
| 09-16 23:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.171 | $51.30 |
| 09-16 23:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.181045877 | $36.82 |
| 09-16 23:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1805954 | $90.30 |
| 09-16 23:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.1133835108 | $287.43 |
| 09-16 23:40 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.6585339337 | $29.98 |
| 09-16 23:40 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.651 | $29.68 |
| 09-16 23:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.182211 | $182.21 |
| 09-16 20:36 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $33.85 |
| 09-16 20:35 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.0972318 | $48.62 |
| 09-16 20:35 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.96 |