cr7
0xa28e6b65cb2ed4e3977725f41beb4892fd8cb220
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $133.5k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $834.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.491 | 0.680 | $379.44 | +$105.46 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.036 | $182.50 | −$284.66 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes | 0.201 | 0.025 | $122.50 | −$884.95 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.080 | $43.22 | −$5.40 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.030 | $38.12 | −$230.00 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $27.50 | −$52.50 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.036 | $22.95 | −$123.67 |
| US congress stock trading ban before 2027? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.047 | $11.75 | −$37.95 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.055 | $6.50 | −$15.71 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.214Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.138Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$425.00at 0.150Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
- +$419.55at 0.080Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
- +$191.72at 0.634Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 01:23 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 10-14 01:22 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15448 | $19.31 |
| 10-10 16:52 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 10-10 13:50 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 23:00 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $10.88 |
| 10-09 22:59 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0234 | $2.34 |
| 10-09 22:57 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.543 | $54.30 |
| 10-09 22:57 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $31.85 |
| 10-09 14:52 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.8899999905 | $9.37 |
| 10-09 12:44 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.8899997635 | $2.86 |
| 10-09 01:16 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1614329042 | $8.54 |
| 10-09 00:57 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.124 | $11.16 |
| 10-09 00:54 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.111 | $10.54 |
| 10-09 00:39 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.287516 | $21.56 |
| 10-09 00:33 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.281 | $26.79 |