PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cr7

0xa28e6b65cb2ed4e3977725f41beb4892fd8cb220

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$133.5k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$834.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4910.680$379.44+$105.46
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.036$182.50−$284.66
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2010.025$122.50−$884.95
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.080$43.22−$5.40
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2140.030$38.12−$230.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$27.50−$52.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.036$22.95−$123.67
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? · Yes0.1990.047$11.75−$37.95
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1880.055$6.50−$15.71
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 01:23Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.36$10.80
10-14 01:22Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.15448$19.31
10-10 16:52US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.16$40.00
10-10 13:50Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.02$5.00
10-09 23:00Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.32$10.88
10-09 22:59Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.0234$2.34
10-09 22:57Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.543$54.30
10-09 22:57Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.35$31.85
10-09 14:52Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?BUY0.8899999905$9.37
10-09 12:44Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?BUY0.8899997635$2.86
10-09 01:16Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1614329042$8.54
10-09 00:57Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.124$11.16
10-09 00:54Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.111$10.54
10-09 00:39Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.287516$21.56
10-09 00:33Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.281$26.79