Tr-mp
0xe3aeb10c729dbef5f382bc229dca0660583d217a
- Realised P&L
- $442.97
- Volume
- $165.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,321
- Open portfolio
- $119.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,321
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$443.51at 0.020Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$151.28at 0.040Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
- +$78.88at 0.090Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
- +$75.91at 0.090Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
- +$74.74at 0.030Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:25 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $19.90 |
| 10-02 12:17 | Will there be at least 4300 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.98 |
| 10-02 12:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 10-02 10:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $8.10 |
| 10-02 09:27 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.60 |
| 09-30 03:11 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $49.74 |
| 09-13 08:22 | Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.0783620266 | $4.78 |
| 09-10 21:35 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.55 |
| 09-10 08:37 | Will Cracker Barrel (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.96 |
| 09-10 06:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-10 06:14 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? | SELL | 0.195 | $7.80 |
| 07-08 16:33 | Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.22 |
| 07-08 16:32 | Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-08 16:31 | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.11 |
| 07-08 16:30 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $5.27 |