bnetopt
0xf18f338022da2ee5d6e71d7df69095ce5645294c
- Realised P&L
- $-41.9k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.7kat 0.284Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$5.5kat 0.108US bank failure by October 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.650Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$3.8kat 0.249US bank failure before March?
- +$2.8kat 0.598Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 19:27 | Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.25 |
| 09-13 19:14 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.228396 | $57.10 |
| 09-13 18:48 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $86.25 |
| 09-12 20:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 09-12 14:43 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $125.00 |
| 09-11 14:21 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $63.75 |
| 09-11 02:34 | Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-10 19:25 | Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.32 |
| 09-10 14:50 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in Arlington? | BUY | 0.4935928144 | $82.43 |
| 09-10 14:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.72 | $90.00 |
| 09-09 23:15 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3379334347 | $42.24 |
| 09-09 23:10 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.5452 | $13.63 |
| 09-09 23:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.4456034783 | $51.24 |
| 09-09 21:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-09 19:01 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.57 | $56.98 |