PolyBot

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Traders

bnetopt

0xf18f338022da2ee5d6e71d7df69095ce5645294c

Realised P&L
$-41.9k
Volume
$2.88M
Markets traded
417
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded417
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.055$838.32$306.32
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.2440.235$432.40$16.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4440.225$281.25$273.15
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0750.055$275.00$100.00
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2130.055$275.00$789.83
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2020.090$225.00$280.24
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1320.075$187.50$142.46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2250.065$162.50$400.78
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.065$162.50$87.50
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1230.060$151.30$159.69
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3070.115$143.75$240.19
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1680.095$118.75$91.84
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3120.095$118.75$271.34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2700.205$97.37$30.87
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? · Yes0.0990.075$93.75$30.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 19:27Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.005$1.25
09-13 19:14Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.228396$57.10
09-13 18:48Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.69$86.25
09-12 20:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.21$105.00
09-12 14:43Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.5$125.00
09-11 14:21Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.51$63.75
09-11 02:34Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?SELL0.01$0.20
09-10 19:25Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?BUY0.32$6.32
09-10 14:50Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in Arlington?BUY0.4935928144$82.43
09-10 14:48Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?SELL0.72$90.00
09-09 23:15Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3379334347$42.24
09-09 23:10Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?BUY0.5452$13.63
09-09 23:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.4456034783$51.24
09-09 21:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.81$8.10
09-09 19:01Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?BUY0.57$56.98