stavr
0x5c22ffa6212e28591ad30e82894c5ef46d74e4db
- Realised P&L
- $-779.18
- Volume
- $594.3k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.037Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.599Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.070Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$266.16at 0.784Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
- +$261.10at 0.250US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 12:20 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.026 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 09:38 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 09:34 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | SELL | 0.0129691668 | $23.53 |
| 10-26 09:34 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.1762162 | $88.37 |
| 10-26 08:14 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 16:39 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | BUY | 0.0119539712 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 08:31 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:25 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0309514482 | $13.27 |
| 10-08 12:03 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0495049505 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 12:02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0491075199 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 12:02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 18:32 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $54.97 |
| 09-25 07:46 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.54 |
| 09-23 16:52 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.0864606198 | $150.00 |
| 09-23 16:27 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.0657219987 | $50.00 |