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Traders

stavr

0x5c22ffa6212e28591ad30e82894c5ef46d74e4db

Realised P&L
$-779.18
Volume
$594.3k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1370.017$1.8k−$12.9k
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.054$54.30−$9.98
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1700.075$43.51−$55.11
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0700.125$35.71+$15.71
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.090$25.87+$3.88
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes0.0050.003$24.06−$29.33
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0060.009$21.86+$7.70
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes0.1150.105$21.00−$2.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0550.004$20.01−$224.26
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0950.095$19.00+$0.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.3600.165$18.33−$21.67
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? · Yes0.0030.001$16.75−$35.21
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.2100.155$15.50−$5.50
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0610.033$11.27−$9.72
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.007$8.68+$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 12:20Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.026$6.00
10-26 09:38Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.014$5.00
10-26 09:34Russia coup attempt in 2026?SELL0.0129691668$23.53
10-26 09:34Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.1762162$88.37
10-26 08:14Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.008$1.00
10-21 16:39Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?BUY0.0119539712$20.00
10-09 08:31Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.008$1.00
10-09 08:25Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.0309514482$13.27
10-08 12:03Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0495049505$10.00
10-08 12:02Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0491075199$5.00
10-08 12:02Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.04$5.00
10-06 18:32Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.05$54.97
09-25 07:46Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?BUY0.001$0.54
09-23 16:52Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.0864606198$150.00
09-23 16:27Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.0657219987$50.00
Trader stavr · PolyBot Pro