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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.032. down 0.034 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.032 to 0.065. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0321,8661,866
0.033751,941
0.034201,961
0.0354,2376,198
0.039276,225
0.0401146,339
0.0411016,440
0.043276,467
0.047246,491
0.0487437,234
0.0491,7068,940
0.0501,87510,815

Spread0.001Mid0.032

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0313838
0.0301,5571,595
0.0283,9245,519
0.0273685,887
0.0225556,442
0.0216007,042
0.0202007,242
0.0141,3408,582
0.0122,46711,048
0.0113,81514,864
0.01040,20855,071
0.0098,25063,321

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9693838
0.9701,5571,595
0.9723,9245,519
0.9733685,887
0.9785556,442
0.9796007,042
0.9802007,242
0.9861,3408,582
0.9882,46711,048
0.9893,81514,864
0.99040,20855,071
0.9918,25063,321

Spread0.001Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9681,8661,866
0.967751,941
0.966201,961
0.9654,2376,198
0.961276,225
0.9601146,339
0.9591016,440
0.957276,467
0.953246,491
0.9527437,234
0.9511,7068,940
0.9501,87510,815

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
RememberAmalekYes211,253.62
5038813185Yes44,750.23
GayPrideYes43,046.47
betwickYes32,928.6
AlphaBetaGamma2357Yes14,999.98
monitoringthesituation1Yes14,523.88
meagainsttheworldYes12,080.08
WongKimArkYes10,000
lastminwinYes9,999.99
PheniumYes9,388.56
0xdd8f906cd9df18fbf29450e01dca8452bd140af8-1791392334060Yes8,578.67
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Yes8,436.44
MeckyYes6,200
0xd640…480cYes5,484.34
0xc961…db04Yes5,458.36
WutWut97Yes4,378.56
asdfasdavYes4,275.78
piepedYes4,000
0x8712Yes3,999.99
yannickYes2,499.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:03:44SELLYes0.03983$29.49
17:45:27BUYNo0.9717$16.95
17:16:35SELLYes0.032343051,000$32.34
16:02:12SELLYes0.0380$0.00
16:02:12SELLYes0.039101$3.96
15:10:59BUYYes0.0418326692239$10.00
14:50:44SELLYes0.037109$4.03
14:48:41BUYNo0.966860681,000$966.86
13:46:45BUYYes0.048100$4.80
13:43:56SELLNo0.951550$522.68
12:14:45SELLNo0.956817577998$93.62
10:46:12SELLYes0.0388909587110$4.28
09:37:00SELLNo0.9565$5.06
08:53:48SELLYes0.03447100183,697$127.44
08:53:14BUYYes0.0436941409229$10.00
08:28:12SELLYes0.0388$0.28
08:28:12SELLYes0.039104$4.06
08:26:54SELLYes0.0385$0.19
08:26:54BUYYes0.0458$2.30
08:26:54SELLYes0.039124$4.84
07:55:08BUYYes0.04430$1.32
07:37:21SELLYes0.038236$8.97
07:37:21SELLYes0.041104$4.28
07:37:21SELLYes0.039139$5.42
07:37:21SELLYes0.0479$3.16