Mecky
0xa82b0e89cf734e2fa70cbd52ca65c77d64595220
- Realised P&L
- $92.9k
- Volume
- $12.31M
- Markets traded
- 2,686
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,686
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.8kat 0.240Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$15.7kat 0.197Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$11.0kat 0.416US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$10.9kat 0.437Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?
- +$7.6kat 0.601Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.61 | $244.00 |
| 09-17 00:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $264.00 |
| 09-16 01:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $90.71 |
| 09-15 21:49 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $66.30 |
| 09-15 21:48 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $69.00 |
| 09-15 21:48 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $71.50 |
| 09-15 21:46 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.63 | $81.90 |
| 09-15 21:46 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 09-15 21:46 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 09-15 21:44 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 09-15 21:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $10.21 |
| 09-15 21:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.57 | $171.00 |
| 09-15 16:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $171.00 |
| 09-15 14:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.73 | $84.59 |
| 09-14 23:18 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $133.41 |