Graceful-Textbook-Aunt
0xdd8f906cd9df18fbf29450e01dca8452bd140af8
- Realised P&L
- $3.80
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $265.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.031 | $265.94 | −$248.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.50at 0.898Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.955Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.13at 0.995Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 15:20 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $439.72 |
| 10-07 15:17 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $75.00 |
| 08-23 18:45 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.78 |
| 07-01 17:54 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $24.62 |
| 06-16 01:19 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.894 | $22.00 |