PolyBot

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Traders

0xd640bffba986c2de1a512c0e25a3e37805cd480c

0xd640bffba986c2de1a512c0e25a3e37805cd480c

Realised P&L
$-67.6k
Volume
$884.1k
Markets traded
702
Open portfolio
$32.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded702
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8500.845$4.3k−$25.44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.4270.435$4.1k+$73.25
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7640.775$2.8k+$39.96
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7740.785$2.8k+$39.13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8700.865$2.3k−$13.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · No0.6360.650$1.9k+$41.17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3000.285$1.8k−$92.90
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1600.165$1.7k+$51.02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No0.0470.042$1.6k−$184.40
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3700.375$1.4k+$18.44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.5900.565$1.4k−$61.14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.7500.755$1.4k+$8.95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4350.435$1.0k−$0.68
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No0.7800.785$844.35+$5.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1500.145$579.54−$19.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 01:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.65$33.18
10-12 01:09Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.3208955224$107.50
10-12 01:08Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.34$13.26
10-12 01:07Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.35$210.00
10-12 01:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.65$9.75
10-12 01:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.65$6.50
10-12 01:05Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.35$4.42
10-12 01:04Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.35$13.58
10-12 01:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.65$324.42
10-12 01:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.6771005013$713.20
10-12 01:03Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.35$7.83
10-12 01:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.7$24.84
10-12 01:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.7$322.00
10-12 01:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.7004495691$300.70
10-12 01:02Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.38$18.62