0xc961dc05fc00fe86a8d7be9b79a78b62e678db04
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $222.6k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.260 | 0.195 | $2.3k | −$780.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.260 | $2.3k | −$2.5k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.545 | $981.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.135 | $736.88 | −$276.90 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.140 | $94.50 | −$6.75 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.032 | $35.69 | +$2.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.604Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?
- +$1.5kat 0.512Will England win on 2026-07-11?
- +$1.4kat 0.642Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
- +$1.1kat 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$1.1kat 0.533Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 20:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5490988421 | $2.1k |
| 09-10 20:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.8k |
| 09-10 19:01 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 09-10 18:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $666.69 |
| 09-10 08:33 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-02 12:31 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | SELL | 0.9836226326 | $665.29 |
| 09-01 21:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.6499999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-01 17:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.62 | $456.18 |
| 09-01 17:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.3691575092 | $403.12 |
| 09-01 17:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.34 | $107.99 |
| 09-01 17:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $507.09 |
| 09-01 17:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.58 | $115.99 |
| 09-01 17:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.3242230797 | $524.30 |
| 08-31 21:55 | Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013379461 | $7.10 |
| 08-31 21:49 | Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1883251817 | $100.00 |