5038813185
0x453ae5e896ea243f332ed97c1c77bf2888ce81d2
- Realised P&L
- $44.6k
- Volume
- $2.95M
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $20.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.175US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$14.4kat 0.420Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?
- +$12.8kat 0.237Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$12.0kat 0.352US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic
- +$4.8kat 0.413Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.4k |
| 09-16 19:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.8k |
| 09-16 01:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $380.00 |
| 09-16 01:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $760.00 |
| 09-15 20:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 20:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.091771708 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 20:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.60 |
| 09-15 20:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $647.50 |
| 09-15 19:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.668 | $216.37 |
| 09-15 19:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.669 | $249.54 |
| 09-15 19:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.675 | $36.19 |
| 09-15 19:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $52.80 |
| 09-15 19:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $24.20 |
| 09-15 19:29 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $119.71 |
| 09-15 19:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $126.50 |