asdfasdav
0xe2a91c06ea3e0eb6cc2102ae84eaba059ac250cb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $2.64M
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.6kat 0.063US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.165Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$240.00at 0.249Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$117.89at 0.004Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.14at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.0212985544 | $196.96 |
| 10-21 12:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $17.47 |
| 10-19 15:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.0889822035 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 00:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | SELL | 0.0199107769 | $388.22 |
| 10-17 12:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | SELL | 0.0107191738 | $185.09 |
| 10-16 20:57 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $11.40 |
| 10-16 20:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $20.22 |
| 10-16 20:55 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $11.20 |
| 10-16 20:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.0024209354 | $21.74 |
| 10-04 13:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0294526935 | $65.06 |
| 10-03 17:36 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $68.05 |
| 10-01 15:56 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329478014 | $996.72 |
| 09-30 18:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $16.01 |
| 09-29 21:08 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.74 |
| 09-29 20:20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.94 |