PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

asdfasdav

0xe2a91c06ea3e0eb6cc2102ae84eaba059ac250cb

Realised P&L
$13.3k
Volume
$637.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2720.290$2.3k+$140.02
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.042$420.00$70.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0150.012$405.42$95.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$16.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00$4.78
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$503.32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$255.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.9000.000$0.00$4.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 08:26US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.049$490.00
08-02 02:51US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0117070834$124.02
08-02 02:51US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.01$20.74
08-02 02:51US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.009$32.74
07-30 03:27Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.28$2.0k
07-27 23:07Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.37$2.9k
07-26 01:47Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.36$2.2k
07-26 01:45Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.0635048674$1.1k
07-26 01:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.072$469.51
07-26 01:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.019$281.72
07-26 01:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.24$7.2k
07-16 02:20Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.091$91.00
07-13 01:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.95$4.95
07-11 23:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.011996801$119.97
07-11 22:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0448246747$437.40