PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asdfasdav

0xe2a91c06ea3e0eb6cc2102ae84eaba059ac250cb

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$2.64M
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1350.032$2.3k−$7.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$524.42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$323.99
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$144.38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.0k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$16.32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$2.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$808.60
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$78.40
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$170.97
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$582.85
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$501.40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.1k
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$180.78
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$87.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 17:23US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?SELL0.0212985544$196.96
10-21 12:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?SELL0.016$17.47
10-19 15:51US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.0889822035$100.00
10-18 00:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?SELL0.0199107769$388.22
10-17 12:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?SELL0.0107191738$185.09
10-16 20:57US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?BUY0.002$11.40
10-16 20:57US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?SELL0.006$20.22
10-16 20:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?BUY0.002$11.20
10-16 20:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?BUY0.0024209354$21.74
10-04 13:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0294526935$65.06
10-03 17:36US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.022$68.05
10-01 15:56US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0329478014$996.72
09-30 18:02US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.001$16.01
09-29 21:08US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.002$6.74
09-29 20:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.002$4.94