asdfasdav
0xe2a91c06ea3e0eb6cc2102ae84eaba059ac250cb
- Realised P&L
- $-579.79
- Volume
- $1.95M
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.6kat 0.063US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.150Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$240.00at 0.249Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$117.89at 0.004Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.14at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $11.12 |
| 09-15 14:06 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $327.21 |
| 09-15 11:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $14.85 |
| 09-15 11:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.3k |
| 09-14 11:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $500.00 |
| 09-14 11:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0589999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $16.67 |
| 09-12 17:26 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $92.15 |
| 09-12 17:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.0k |
| 09-10 12:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.07678125 | $4.91 |
| 09-10 12:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0746802721 | $1.87 |
| 09-08 19:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $974.28 |
| 09-08 18:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.0169805337 | $261.69 |
| 09-06 12:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $286.94 |
| 09-05 14:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $32.00 |