PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pieped

0xf44076b9299b390a1f4bd5979d926ce989aeb009

Realised P&L
$19.8k
Volume
$2.13M
Markets traded
319
Open portfolio
$96.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded319
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:16Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.24$130.80
11-01 17:10Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?BUY0.26$459.57
11-01 16:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?BUY0.16$19.43
11-01 04:01Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?SELL0.1030110609$93.22
10-31 21:32Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?BUY0.7287611995$1.8k
10-31 19:15Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.19$64.35
10-31 13:38Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.36$43.15
10-31 04:56Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?BUY0.72$3.6k
10-31 04:54Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.965$258.48
10-31 04:22Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0379604936$1.9k
10-31 04:20Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.154$2.0k
10-31 02:52Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?SELL0.21$56.76
10-31 02:45Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%?BUY0.25$84.00
10-31 02:44Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.0913252981$25.19
10-31 02:43Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?BUY0.21$18.43