pieped
0xf44076b9299b390a1f4bd5979d926ce989aeb009
- Realised P&L
- $19.8k
- Volume
- $2.13M
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $96.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.985Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$4.0kat 0.768Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.3kat 0.327Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
- +$2.0kat 0.450Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$1.7kat 0.411US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.24 | $130.80 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.26 | $459.57 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.16 | $19.43 |
| 11-01 04:01 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.1030110609 | $93.22 |
| 10-31 21:32 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election? | BUY | 0.7287611995 | $1.8k |
| 10-31 19:15 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.19 | $64.35 |
| 10-31 13:38 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $43.15 |
| 10-31 04:56 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.6k |
| 10-31 04:54 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $258.48 |
| 10-31 04:22 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0379604936 | $1.9k |
| 10-31 04:20 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.154 | $2.0k |
| 10-31 02:52 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.21 | $56.76 |
| 10-31 02:45 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.25 | $84.00 |
| 10-31 02:44 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.0913252981 | $25.19 |
| 10-31 02:43 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.21 | $18.43 |