Phenium
0xe9f2c2ffc2c23f781afa7dfed2bb06380804ddd0
- Realised P&L
- $-20.4k
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Markets traded
- 586
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded586
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.426Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.3kat 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$959.20at 0.687U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
- +$827.56at 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$793.03at 0.441India military action against Pakistan before June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 04:05 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.254 | $25.40 |
| 10-07 15:28 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $24.60 |
| 10-07 04:55 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 10-07 04:19 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $23.76 |
| 10-07 04:16 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $51.12 |
| 09-27 23:30 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $40.00 |
| 09-27 23:22 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.419999999 | $150.00 |
| 09-27 23:22 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.4199999986 | $90.00 |
| 09-27 23:22 | Vikings vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.0099522293 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 03:22 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 09-20 03:21 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.19 | $35.72 |
| 09-19 02:52 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $9.90 |
| 09-15 02:26 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.92 | $276.00 |
| 09-15 02:26 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.92 | $644.00 |
| 09-15 02:19 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.87 | $304.50 |