PolyBot

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Traders

Phenium

0xe9f2c2ffc2c23f781afa7dfed2bb06380804ddd0

Realised P&L
$-20.4k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
586
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded586
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2960.255$1.2k−$193.15
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2560.255$815.99−$1.98
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3710.375$492.58+$4.77
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.5970.605$423.50+$5.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1680.031$291.05−$1.3k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1800.175$283.23−$8.09
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1450.150$281.07+$8.74
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.495$109.89−$14.43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · No0.1700.135$108.00−$28.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3750.370$96.20−$1.40
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.026$95.40−$649.90
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? · Yes0.1500.135$94.50−$10.50
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.925$92.49+$14.50
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3200.565$64.54+$27.99
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.125$62.50−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 04:05Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.254$25.40
10-07 15:28Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?BUY0.41$24.60
10-07 04:55Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.36$36.00
10-07 04:19Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.36$23.76
10-07 04:16Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.36$51.12
09-27 23:30Ravens vs. CowboysBUY0.2999999985$40.00
09-27 23:22Ravens vs. CowboysBUY0.419999999$150.00
09-27 23:22Ravens vs. CowboysBUY0.4199999986$90.00
09-27 23:22Vikings vs. BuccaneersBUY0.0099522293$10.00
09-20 03:22LSU vs. Ole MissBUY0.16$4.80
09-20 03:21LSU vs. Ole MissBUY0.19$35.72
09-19 02:52Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.033$9.90
09-15 02:26Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.92$276.00
09-15 02:26Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.92$644.00
09-15 02:19Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.87$304.50