lastminwin
0xb5d19b53c973be1097119c9ddc48fcb18fff6e35
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $892.0k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $269.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.08at 0.130Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
- +$5.74at 0.230Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
- +$-48.60at 0.240Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:04 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.143287311 | $87.18 |
| 09-16 14:04 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2404461847 | $132.03 |
| 09-16 14:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.2214587172 | $580.46 |
| 09-16 14:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.7k |
| 09-16 14:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.2k |
| 09-16 13:10 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.3k |
| 09-16 13:06 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.1k |
| 09-16 13:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007039989 | $140.80 |
| 09-16 08:32 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $692.08 |
| 09-16 08:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $336.95 |
| 09-15 22:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $570.68 |
| 09-15 06:47 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.99 |
| 09-15 06:47 | Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $618.94 |
| 09-15 06:43 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.765 | $5.5k |
| 09-14 19:37 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.8k |