PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lastminwin

0xb5d19b53c973be1097119c9ddc48fcb18fff6e35

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$892.0k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$269.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8770.895$37.2k+$738.59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7610.779$36.8k+$867.08
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7160.755$27.9k+$1.4k
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.705$24.8k+$176.64
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9220.918$23.0k$100.04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9970.997$19.9k$1.74
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3610.360$17.7k$14.45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6140.650$15.9k+$876.94
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8720.875$14.3k+$44.80
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5540.545$12.3k$210.59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.595$10.7k+$1.3k
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8200.765$7.6k$549.95
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3240.325$4.1k+$13.86
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1500.145$2.9k$99.86
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2970.325$2.4k+$208.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:04Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?SELL0.143287311$87.18
09-16 14:04Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?SELL0.2404461847$132.03
09-16 14:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.2214587172$580.46
09-16 14:02Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$11.7k
09-16 14:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$8.2k
09-16 13:10Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.77$8.3k
09-16 13:06Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.75$6.1k
09-16 13:02Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.007039989$140.80
09-16 08:32Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.22$692.08
09-16 08:31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.16$336.95
09-15 22:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.24$570.68
09-15 06:47Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.13$2.99
09-15 06:47Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?BUY0.93$618.94
09-15 06:43Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.765$5.5k
09-14 19:37Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.33$2.8k