lastminwin
0xb5d19b53c973be1097119c9ddc48fcb18fff6e35
- Realised P&L
- $-90.8k
- Volume
- $4.51M
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $1.24M
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.86at 0.997Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$8.08at 0.130Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
- +$5.74at 0.230Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
- +$-1.11at 0.090Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
- +$-48.60at 0.240Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:47 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.034 | $18.90 |
| 10-30 14:46 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.833 | $118.01 |
| 10-30 14:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.959 | $2.5k |
| 10-30 14:43 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.874 | $1.4k |
| 10-29 09:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.173 | $1.0k |
| 10-27 08:45 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.181 | $423.06 |
| 10-27 08:43 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.6k |
| 10-26 08:16 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.177 | $362.64 |
| 10-26 08:14 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.012 | $21.89 |
| 10-26 08:13 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $180.61 |
| 10-25 12:51 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.961 | $1.6k |
| 10-25 08:37 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 10-25 08:37 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $2.4k |
| 10-25 08:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.798 | $107.74 |
| 10-25 08:36 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $11.0k |