Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.16 to 0.17. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	33,218	33,218
0.18	17,598	50,816
0.19	6,147	56,963
0.20	57,600	114,563
0.21	4,800	119,363
0.22	30,000	149,363
0.23	3,895	153,258
0.24	30,372	183,630
0.25	1,040	184,670
0.26	35,352	220,021
0.27	336	220,357
0.28	30,320	250,677

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	516	516
0.15	52,950	53,466
0.14	43,159	96,625
0.13	133,841	230,466
0.12	907	231,373
0.11	3,070	234,443
0.10	923	235,366
0.09	867	236,233
0.08	20,410	256,642
0.07	22,992	279,634
0.06	28,551	308,186
0.05	25,525	333,711

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	516	516
0.85	52,950	53,466
0.86	43,159	96,625
0.87	133,841	230,466
0.88	907	231,373
0.89	3,070	234,443
0.90	923	235,366
0.91	867	236,233
0.92	20,410	256,642
0.93	22,992	279,634
0.94	28,551	308,186
0.95	25,525	333,711

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	33,218	33,218
0.82	17,598	50,816
0.81	6,147	56,963
0.80	57,600	114,563
0.79	4,800	119,363
0.78	30,000	149,363
0.77	3,895	153,258
0.76	30,372	183,630
0.75	1,040	184,670
0.74	35,352	220,021
0.73	336	220,357
0.72	30,320	250,677

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
RememberAmalek	Yes	181,909.17
BigRabbit	Yes	49,999.61
Atlantislq	Yes	49,291.47
GayPride	Yes	40,864.48
5038813185	Yes	39,999.6
lastminwin	Yes	29,999.97
rainbowlilies	Yes	15,910.2
Llama67	Yes	12,331
AlphaBetaGamma2357	Yes	10,999.99
Telepath-One	Yes	10,344.8
betwick	Yes	9,907.74
Logan.	Yes	7,346.12
0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455	Yes	6,859.87
Debosnys	Yes	5,999.97
Warren-Buffett	Yes	5,000
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	5,000
compute	Yes	4,464.41
0x00c049827Eb3206e63FbFF1C442132c454324610-1773587440475	Yes	3,901.47
purplegatto	Yes	3,750
MrNFT	Yes	3,745.68

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:52:43	BUY	Yes	0.16	1,000	$160.00
22:52:43	BUY	Yes	0.17	11	$1.87
22:42:14	SELL	Yes	0.16	2,551	$408.15
19:55:28	SELL	Yes	0.16	400	$64.00
19:16:25	BUY	Yes	0.1699999983	35	$6.00
18:20:04	BUY	No	0.84	606	$509.04
16:56:38	SELL	Yes	0.1594345304	2,534	$404.01
16:56:37	BUY	No	0.85	478	$406.30
16:55:37	BUY	No	0.84	400	$336.00
16:51:50	BUY	No	0.84	400	$336.00
15:37:02	BUY	No	0.84	85	$71.40
15:18:46	SELL	No	0.83	22	$18.26
15:04:05	BUY	No	0.8399999998	232	$195.00
14:27:20	SELL	No	0.83	99	$82.01
14:25:53	BUY	No	0.8399999754	5	$4.09
14:09:32	BUY	No	0.8399999933	6	$5.00
14:08:59	SELL	Yes	0.16	2,500	$400.00
13:39:43	SELL	No	0.83	1	$1.10
13:31:16	BUY	No	0.84	300	$252.00
13:06:07	BUY	No	0.8399999997	245	$205.93
13:01:11	SELL	No	0.83	250	$207.50
12:39:47	BUY	No	0.84	1,000	$840.00
12:33:11	BUY	No	0.84	1,000	$840.00
12:20:59	BUY	No	0.84	900	$756.00
12:16:50	BUY	No	0.84	800	$672.00