Debosnys
0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50
- Realised P&L
- $78.3k
- Volume
- $36.52M
- Markets traded
- 2,919
- Open portfolio
- $95.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,919
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.9kat 0.002Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
- +$9.9kat 0.907Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$9.5kat 0.921Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$8.7kat 0.990Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$4.3kat 0.968Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 22:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 19:56 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-28 09:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.986 | $3.1k |
| 10-27 01:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 10-27 01:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9907293432 | $396.28 |
| 10-26 02:56 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $382.62 |
| 10-26 02:55 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $16.47 |
| 10-26 02:55 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $206.05 |
| 10-26 02:55 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.0k |
| 10-26 02:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.0k |
| 10-26 02:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.29 |
| 10-26 02:26 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $2.3k |
| 10-25 22:39 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $631.65 |
| 10-21 20:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $2.9k |