PolyBot

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Traders

Debosnys

0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50

Realised P&L
$78.3k
Volume
$36.52M
Markets traded
2,919
Open portfolio
$95.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,919
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8460.825$27.6k−$718.73
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9440.955$7.3k+$82.04
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9190.967$6.3k+$309.99
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.6440.980$5.5k+$1.9k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9570.969$5.5k+$69.08
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9750.962$5.3k−$71.51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9930.998$4.9k+$26.82
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9590.963$4.8k+$20.09
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · No0.8700.875$3.7k+$21.07
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.9450.963$3.6k+$64.80
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.964$2.5k+$165.10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.7200.775$1.7k+$121.00
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.4520.330$1.4k−$506.94
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.4250.335$1.4k−$364.26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9540.996$1.2k+$51.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:48Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.998$2.0k
11-01 22:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.992$1.0k
10-31 19:56Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.998$499.00
10-28 09:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.986$3.1k
10-27 01:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$172.00
10-27 01:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9907293432$396.28
10-26 02:56Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.99$382.62
10-26 02:55Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.989$16.47
10-26 02:55Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.989$206.05
10-26 02:55Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.989$2.0k
10-26 02:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.991$2.0k
10-26 02:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.99$16.29
10-26 02:26Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$2.3k
10-25 22:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.998$631.65
10-21 20:57Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.956$2.9k