Debosnys
0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50
- Realised P&L
- $81.3k
- Volume
- $36.04M
- Markets traded
- 2,841
- Open portfolio
- $93.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,841
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.9kat 0.002Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
- +$9.9kat 0.907Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$9.5kat 0.921Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$8.7kat 0.990Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$4.3kat 0.968Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $24.0k |
| 09-15 21:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $24.5k |
| 09-11 20:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.1311761276 | $31.50 |
| 09-11 18:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $41.64 |
| 09-08 01:12 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.2k |
| 09-07 18:46 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.91 |
| 09-04 18:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $333.05 |
| 09-04 18:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $810.78 |
| 09-01 17:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $18.2k |
| 08-27 02:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $169.49 |
| 08-18 21:03 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.41 | $799.66 |
| 08-18 18:09 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $539.71 |
| 08-16 05:32 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.046 | $2.76 |
| 08-16 05:29 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.0397110021 | $15.38 |
| 08-16 05:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $145.30 |