PolyBot

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Traders

Debosnys

0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50

Realised P&L
$81.3k
Volume
$36.04M
Markets traded
2,841
Open portfolio
$93.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,841
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8230.835$28.5k+$404.95
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$13.7k+$334.05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$13.0k$334.05
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9890.994$11.7k+$50.82
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9190.945$6.1k+$170.77
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9600.954$6.1k$40.79
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9900.995$3.4k+$16.32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.935$1.9k+$10.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9840.995$1.3k+$14.83
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.945$1.3k+$6.81
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9540.978$1.2k+$29.00
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.9600.984$1.2k+$28.44
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8510.905$643.59+$38.67
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9560.954$416.67$0.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8850.945$378.00+$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.991$24.0k
09-15 21:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$24.5k
09-11 20:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.1311761276$31.50
09-11 18:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.13$41.64
09-08 01:12Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.96$1.2k
09-07 18:46Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.998$9.91
09-04 18:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.16$333.05
09-04 18:07Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.99$810.78
09-01 17:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$18.2k
08-27 02:15Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.997$169.49
08-18 21:03Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.41$799.66
08-18 18:09Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?BUY0.99$539.71
08-16 05:32Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.046$2.76
08-16 05:29Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.0397110021$15.38
08-16 05:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.93$145.30