PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00c049827Eb3206e63FbFF1C442132c454324610-1773587440475

0x00c049827eb3206e63fbff1c442132c454324610

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$274.1k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3360.270$2.4k−$588.71
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1620.145$895.88−$104.12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.3840.170$663.25−$836.75
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.3110.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$1.5k
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$500.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$350.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.4700.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$997.50
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00−$750.00
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00−$500.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 22:41Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3359208976$3.0k
08-20 04:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.94$3.9k
08-08 01:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2408627975$1000.00
07-23 00:51Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.3844700254$1.5k
07-21 11:32Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.407701948$751.16
07-14 14:57Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4049999998$1000.00
07-11 11:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$873.16
07-11 11:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1767235293$1.5k
07-09 01:01Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.4070698442$1.5k
07-05 15:10Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4699999997$200.00
07-05 15:09Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2999999992$200.00
07-03 05:07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1229999998$509.00
07-03 05:06Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05500594$509.31
06-30 00:37Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.1618522908$1000.00
06-28 09:18Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?BUY0.0435078164$100.00